Tip: Result - Newcastle | Goals Under 2.5
1. Newcastle have won seven of their last nine home games against Norwich.
2. Norwich have lost four out of six away games this season.
3. Norwich have conceded only two goals in their last three games.
Newcastle United will be desperate to get their first Premier League win of the season at the fourteenth time of asking tonight in an enormous relegation six pointer against fellow strugglers Norwich City. Both teams come into this game with renewed optimism after the arrival of new coaches. Dean Smith quickly rebounded from his sacking at Aston Villa to rock up at Carrow Road and Eddie Howe is back in the game after taking charge at St James' Park.
The former Bournemouth manager will be able to step into the home dugout for the first time after missing his first game in charge due to Covid-19. He was reportedly on the phone to assistant Jason Tindall throughout the enthralling 3-3 draw with Brentford before appearing on the touchline for their 2-0 defeat away at Arsenal at the weekend. He will hope to receive a rapturous reception and that the home fans can spur on his team to victory in what will surely be a season-defining game for The Magpies.
The hosts are one of the only teams remaining in Europe without a win in their domestic league and come into this game in poor form. Fans have seen an uptick in excitement and desire since Howe's appointment and those three goals against Brentford would be welcome, but the five conceded at the other end in two games under their new manager will have alarm bells ringing. It's been a torrid campaign from the very start and should they lose this match, they will be in even deeper trouble than they already are at the bottom of the Premier League.
Norwich, on the other hand, come into this game in fine form. They are unbeaten in three, having picked up seven points from a possible twelve, and now look like they could actually mount a serious fight to stay up. Rock bottom under previous coach Daniel Farke they looked dead and buried after only a few games but ironically it was the German's final game in charge which saw the change of fortunes. Farke was sacked shortly after their 2-1 away win over fellow newly promoted side Brentford, their first of the season. They then quickly appointed Dean Smith during the international break who has kept the momentum going and guided them to another 2-1 win, this time over Southampton, and a 0-0 draw with high flying Wolves.
Norwich are finally coming into some form. Newcastle are the antithesis of the word but will be desperate to win. We think the hosts will want it that bit more, and with their new coach finally there in front of the home crowd, we see The Magpies grinding out a hard fought win. Norwich have done their fans proud in the past three games but we don't see them extending that unbeaten run to four. They just don't have enough quality to maintain that consistency and we think the run will end here.
Despite Eddie Howe's penchant for attacking football, we think Dean Smith will have Norwich well organised and keep the score down. They've only conceded two goals in three games now and we think Newcastle will only manage one here, but one without reply. Norwich will be unable to register another vital goal here as the home defenders will be playing like their lives depend on it.
We are predicting a home victory and this is partly due to the fact that the hosts simply must win, but also some historical data plays into our thinking. The hosts have beaten Norwich at home seven out of their last nine meetings. The visitors have also lost four of their six away trips this season, winning only one and drawing the other.
We expect the home crowd to play a key factor and for Newcastle to grind out a 1-0 win despite the recent form of the two sides going into this clash.